Markets
Market context, chart-driven reads, and weekly advisor talking points.
- Markets
Oil Price Surge Sparks Inflation Fears—but This Isn’t the 1970s
Supply shortages and associated high oil prices are likely temporary, unlike during the longer-lasting embargo and Iranian revolution noted above.
- Markets
Corporate Debt Slices up Record Issuance as Market Volatility Surges
This strategic shift has pushed the average number of pieces per deal to an all-time high of 3.3.
- Markets
S&P Just Broke 200-DMA – Here’s What Investors Should Do Now
There are hundreds of technical indicators that market analysts track, but only one gets a live television chyron the moment it breaks.
- Markets
The CDX Is Flashing Red: What Credit Spreads Know That Stocks Don’t
There is no guarantee this time ends the same way as 2008, 2015, or 2022. Markets can and do defy patterns.
- Markets
S&P 500 Calm Masks Deep Sector Turbulence
Another confirmation of the wide dispersion of returns in the constituents of the S&P 500 and yet relatively calm trading in the index itself.
- Markets
Energy Profits Jump Fast in Crises—but Timing That Trade Gets Harder
Energy sector profits are likely to pick up in Q1 and Q2 but growth may fade in the second half of the year.
- Markets
Global Investors Hedge Against Risk, Not Against U.S. Dollar
The data tells a more nuanced, and arguably more important, story. One that investors ignore in favor of the simpler narrative
- Markets
Credit Spreads Signal Trouble Ahead While Fed Holds Its Ground
Few Fed meetings in recent memory have presented the FOMC with a more uncomfortable set of competing signals than yesterday’s.
- Markets
$1.2 Trillion Risk Building Beneath Markets Could Force Fed’s Hand
The Fed has a history of cutting rates and boosting liquidity when the labor market and inflation levels don’t necessitate action.
- Markets
War and Treasury Yields: Oil, Inflation, and Market Reality
It is wrong more than right, for reasons that have very little to do with the conflict itself, as shown, yields tend to rise about 60% of the time.